Nick Hellums and crew are moving up I-35 this hour and will try to get toward western Kansas as quickly as possible for the impending threat of a few supercell thunderstorms this afternoon. Nick is streaming and will be streaming all day at the link that we provide you below or you can just clikc Mid-South Storm Chasers at the top of the page.
Above is my personal greatest area of concern with the afternoon. The dryline will bulge eastward and a developing surface low will back wind fields across the area. This triple point axis should set the stage for the cap to weaken as large scale ascent moves into Central Colorado. Thus, supercells should fire by late afternoon with the threat of maturity and potential for tornadoes between Hugo and Holyoke, Colorado. This will transition east throughout the evening. The greats threat will likely be in the Goodland forecast area as our hatched location shows.
Tomorrow will be another good chase day. We will try to get a blurb out about that risk and hope to have footage and photos from Nick and crew later this evening. Stay tuned…
Thursday brings about another round of severe weather for the Deep South including severe storms with tornadoes and flooding rains. Live Storms Network Members Jason Brand and Brantley French are going to be out live tracking what unfolds through the afternoon. There seems to be a fairly well defined spatial area which has the best: daytime temp, dewpoint temp, instability 750+ with CAPE lobe rotating along the coast, SRH 500+, with an additional cap in place. Models clearly show a large warm sector developing and while storms throughout the day might be elevated later on some will take on rotating/sustained updrafts. We will be in this favorable area to see what unfolds. For the live stream looking out the truck choose Brantley French. For the Camera showing what we do inside the truck chasing click Jason Brand. We wanted to try out this interactive experience with you so while you are there it takes two seconds to join the chat chase room and chat with us! We all really appreciate the support and the community grows by you sharing with your friends the streams also. We got some more maps and some discussion for you so let’s get to it…
Above is the SPC Day 1 Outlook And Below is the SPC Day 1 Tornado Outlook
SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS A POTENT DISTURBANCE SWINGS ACROSS THE REGION INTO A SHEARED AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO AT LEAST 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL ARE MOST LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR WHERE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE HIGHEST. A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.
IN ADDITION…WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS EVENT…AND EXTENDING LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY BRIEFLY STALLS IN THE VICINITY. PRECIPITATION TOTALS WILL LIKELY RANGE BETWEEN THREE AND FOUR INCHES BY LATE FRIDAY. GIVEN THE SATURATED STATE OF THE GROUND EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS AND RAINFALL RATES WILL LIKELY BE HIGH ENOUGH TO RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN AT LEAST A FEW LOCATIONS. SMALL CREEKS…STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS CAN ALSO EXPECT RISES IN WATER LEVELS.
ABOVE IS AN ANIMATION OF THE EVENT THAT SEEMS TO BEST FIT THE CURRENT SETUP AND EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM. YOU CAN COUNT ON THE LIVE STORMS NETWORK IN CONJUNCTION WITH LIVE STORMS MEDIA AND OTHER TEAM MEMBERS PROVIDING SUPPORT THROUGH THE WHOLE EVENT SO THANK YOU TO EVERYONE DOING THAT! SEE YOU ON THE LIVE STORM STREAM!!!
Wow…what a day. LSM affiliate John Sibley captured the most intense footage of the day with tornadic activity near the Hattiesburg, MS metro area with a long tracked supercell that ravaged much of the area.
What a catch by our affiliate on his live stream today. We have video available for licensing if you are media. Contact firstname.lastname@example.org for information regarding licensing the high quality product that is degraded in the Youtube videos above.
John is scheduled to appear on several local affiliates in the morning along with The Weather Channel, ABC News, and Good Morning America. We will post updates as available along with more damage video and imagery.
Captured this just a short time ago from John’s stream of a funnel cloud heading into Collins, MS. These cells mean business as there are a number of tornado warnings out. John, Brantley, Michael, and Nick are in the field live! Click the links above!